Forbes: UBS Doubles Down on Gold - Ups Its Forecast Again!

Article by Simon Constable in Forbes

The usually-conservative bank UBS has upped its forecast for the price of gold for the second time in less than two months.

Now it says the price for the yellow metal could reach as high as $1,730 a troy ounce next year, up $50 from an August forecast, a recent UBS report states. The note last month pointed to the possibility of $1,680 over the same timeframe.

If gold did soar that far it would be 17% above the recent price of $1,469.

The UBS report explains:

“An environment of negative and lower-for-longer real rates, slowing growth with downside risks, and elevated uncertainty strengthens the case for holding strategic gold allocations.”

The bullish move comes after a brutal September where the price tumbled from a high around $1,553.

Negative interest rates are only a part of the bullish case, UBS says.

The other bullish blessing is that most of the investor love for the metal has not come from individual investors. Individuals are well-known for buying and selling assets of any kind at precisely the wrong time. That means that their relative absence from gold investing is a good thing for investors who want to see the price of bullion rally.

“Participation so far has largely been limited to institutional investors and the official sector,” the report says.

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