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Investing.com: BofA Says Gold Rally Not Extreme, Next Target $5,000 by 2026

October 31, 2025
BofA Says Gold Rally Not Extreme, Next Target $5,000 by 2026

Article by Sam Boughedda in Investing.com

Bank of America said the recent surge in gold prices is not out of the ordinary and expects the rally to extend, with the metal reaching $5,000 per ounce by 2026.

In the latest Global Metals Weekly note, BofA commodity strategist Michael Widmer commented that gold “has rallied sharply in recent months on a confluence of macro factors.”

While the market has become “overbought,” Widmer believes “the magnitude of the current rally is not out of the ordinary when compared to any of the gold bull markets since 1970.”

The bank forecasts an average price of $3,800 per ounce in the fourth quarter of 2025, followed by “a push higher to $5,000 per ounce next year.”

Widmer stated that bull markets in gold “end when underlying drivers change.” In past cycles, those drivers included the “oil crisis, stagflation, rebound trade, Plaza Accord, quantitative easing and COVID.”

The bank added, “Gold prices stopped pushing higher only once the underlying drivers changed.”

“This time around,” Widmer wrote, “we turned bullish on the .....

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