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Weekly Money & Metals Brief

Curated news and insights on the economy and precious metals

Many Analysts Still Expect Gold and Silver to Rise in 2026. But They’re Focused on the Wrong Question.

by Kathrynn WardAugust 6, 2026

Gold and silver have pulled back from their highs this year, and as always, the headlines have become predictable: Has the rally run its course? Did investors miss their chance? Is now the wrong time to buy?

Yet beneath the daily market noise, many of the world’s largest financial institutions remain remarkably optimistic about precious metals through the remainder of 2026.

Deutsche Bank continues to describe gold as being in an “explosive phase” of its bull market. J.P. Morgan remains constructive on both gold and silver, pointing to macroeconomic conditions that continue to favor hard assets. TD Securities goes even further, arguing that the precious metals story is only just beginning.

That’s an impressive level of consensus for an asset class that has already enjoyed a significant run.

So why are so many analysts still bullish?

The Bullish Case Hasn’t Changed

The factors that helped propel gold and silver higher over the past several years haven’t disappeared.

Governments around the world continue to carry enormous debt burdens. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated. Inflation concerns have eased from their peaks but have hardly vanished, while investors continue looking for assets that can preserve purchasing power during periods of uncertainty.

Meanwhile, MarketWatch recently reported that Chinese buyers have been actively purchasing gold during the recent decline-a classic example of strong physical demand emerging when prices soften. Rather than viewing lower prices as a warning sign, many buyers appear to see them as an opportunity.

Silver May Have Even More Room to Run

While gold tends to dominate the headlines, silver has its own compelling story.

Unlike gold, silver benefits from two powerful sources of demand: investors seeking a monetary metal and manufacturers requiring the metal for industrial applications.

J.P. Morgan continues to highlight silver’s growing role in solar energy, electrification, and advanced manufacturing, while TD Securities believes the entire precious metals sector is simply “warming up.”

If gold continues to perform well, silver has historically demonstrated the potential to amplify those gains during precious metals bull markets.

The Central Banks Aren’t Buying for Next Quarter

One of the defining features of this bull market has been unprecedented central bank demand for gold.

Around the world, central banks have been steadily adding gold to their reserves as they seek greater diversification away from traditional reserve assets and increased protection against geopolitical and currency risks. This has become one of the strongest structural sources of demand the gold market has seen in decades.

The World Gold Council's 2026 survey found that 89% of participating reserve managers expect global central-bank gold holdings to increase over the next 12 months. A record 45% expect their own institutions to increase their gold reserves.

Unlike traders, central banks aren’t attempting to time short-term price movements. They aren’t asking whether gold will be up next month or down next quarter.

They’re accumulating a strategic asset they expect to hold for years.

That’s an important distinction.

When one of the largest classes of buyers in the world continues accumulating gold regardless of short-term volatility, it suggests the investment case extends well beyond the next headline or economic report.

For long-term investors, that’s a signal worth paying attention to.

The Better Question Isn’t When to Buy

It’s natural to ask whether now is the right time to buy gold or silver.

But history suggests that investors often spend so much time waiting for the perfect entry point that they miss years of compounding along the way.

Could precious metals move higher before the end of 2026? Many respected analysts certainly think so.

Could they experience another correction first? Absolutely.

No one knows with certainty.

Fortunately, you don’t need to.

The purpose of owning precious metals has never been to perfectly predict the next three months. Gold and silver have historically served as long-term stores of value, portfolio diversifiers, and financial insurance against the unexpected.

From that perspective, there really isn’t a bad time to begin building a position.

Buying during periods when prices have pulled back is simply an added bonus.

The investors who ultimately benefit the most from precious metals are rarely the ones who perfectly timed the bottom.

They’re the ones who understood that the most important decision wasn’t when to buy.

It was making sure they owned some in the first place.

Interested in learning how physical gold and silver could fit into your long-term financial strategy? Call Lear Capital today at 855-271-2873 to speak with a precious metals specialist and explore the options available to you.

Kathrynn Ward

Kathrynn Ward is a Research Specialist at Lear Capital, focused on educating our readers and customers about gold, silver, and the economic forces shaping the U.S. dollar and financial markets. She distills current events as well as topics like inflation, government debt, central bank policy, and market volatility into clear, practical insights to help Americans make educated decisions about their financial future.

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