CNBC: In His Last Major Interview, Jack Bogle Gave a Warning about this Bull Market

January 17, 2019

Article by Michael Sheetz in CNBC Financial

Jack Bogle, founder of index fund giant Vanguard Group, warned investors about the bull market in his last major interview.

The creator of the world's first index mutual fund died Wednesday at age 89.

In a Barron's interview published in December, Bogle said investors should prepare for 2019 by decreasing exposure to stocks and increasing investment in defensive strategies.

"Trees don't grow to the sky, and I see clouds on the horizon. I don't know if and when they'll arrive. A little extra caution should be the watchword," Bogle told Barron's. "If you were comfortable at a 70 percent to 30 percent [allocation to stocks and fixed income], under these circumstances you'd like to go back to 60 percent to 40 percent, or something like that."

Bogle did not believe investors for the long term should try to pull completely out and time the market, which he said is "a really dumb strategy." Instead, he said it's time "to really be thinking how much risk you want to have" and make some defensive moves.

"If I had a big liability in a year, I'd get prepared for it right now," Bogle added.

Even before the year-end extreme stock market volatility, Bogle told CNBC in April that he had never seen volatility like this in his 66-year career. For 2018, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average posted their worst annual losses since 2008.

Vanguard has more than $5 trillion under management.

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