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Government Shutdown Sends Gold to Record Highs

by Kathrynn WardOctober 2, 2025
USA Government Shutdown

Gold surged to nearly $3,900 per ounce this week as markets reacted to the U.S. government shutdown. Historically, gold has thrived during periods of political and economic uncertainty, and this moment is no exception. Shutdown-driven volatility often drives investors toward safe-haven assets, especially when combined with weakening labor data and expectations for lower interest rates.

Gold Thrives on Uncertainty

Whenever Washington gridlock makes headlines, investors tend to flock toward tangible assets like gold. Political dysfunction undermines confidence in the dollar and traditional markets, and gold steps in as a trusted hedge. In the short term, shutdowns typically add volatility that supports higher gold prices, giving investors a clear incentive to hold physical metals.

The Longer the Shutdown, the Stronger the Case for Gold

If the current shutdown continues for weeks or months, the economic fallout could ripple across multiple sectors. Markets dislike uncertainty, and the longer instability lasts, the greater the pressure on the Federal Reserve to provide support through rate cuts. Government dysfunction, slowing growth, and lower interest rates create a powerful tailwind for gold. Analysts believe these forces could sustain elevated gold prices for the next 6-12 months.  UBS analysts reinforced this point in a recent note to clients, writing, "Gold continues to serve as an effective hedge against episodes of economic, political, and geopolitical risk and would likely perform well if a U.S. government shutdown proves longer or more disruptive than feared."

Big Banks See Higher Gold Ahead

Major investment firms are also making bold forecasts. Goldman Sachs and others have indicated that if central banks maintain strong demand, if rate cuts materialize, and if U.S. political instability persists, gold could climb well beyond current levels. Some projections suggest $4,000 to $5,000 per ounce within the next year, a striking upside potential in today's market.

Why Investors Are Paying Attention Now

For everyday Americans, a government shutdown highlights just how fragile the financial system can be. Confidence in paper assets may waver, but gold has remained a proven store of value for thousands of years. During shutdowns, inflationary fears, or policy missteps, gold doesn't just hold value; it often surges. That's why many investors are seeing this moment as an opportunity to strengthen their portfolios with physical metals.

Lear Capital's Perspective

At Lear Capital, we've seen this pattern play out many times: when Washington stumbles, gold shines. Today's headlines serve as a reminder that wealth protection is about preparation, not reaction. For those seeking stability in an uncertain environment, adding gold or silver can provide peace of mind and the potential for long-term growth.

For investors looking to protect and grow their wealth, now may be the moment to consider strengthening their portfolio with gold. Call our team at 855-271-2873 to lock in today’s price before the next major move.

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